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Table 4 Multivariate analysis of factors predicting severity, mortality, ARDS, and ARF in AP

From: Accuracy of conventional and novel scoring systems in predicting severity and outcomes of acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study

Characteristic

Severity

Mortality

ARDS

ARF

OR (95% CI)

P

OR (95% CI)

P

OR (95% CI)

P

OR (95% CI)

P

Age

0.994 (0.975–1.014)

0.575

1.023 (0.97–-1.069)

0.308

Male gender

0.731 (0.101–5.295)

0.731

BMI, kg/m2

0.985 (0.919–1.055)

0.66

1.139 (1.022–1.271)

0.019

1.125 (0.996–1.269)

0.057

Etiology

        

 Gallstones

1.256 (0.635–2.487)

0.512

0.255 (0.036–1.826)

0.174

1.794 (0.620–5.193)

0.281

0.974 (0.197–4.821)

0.974

 Alcoholism

1.416 (0.526–3.808)

0.491

0.378 (0.074–1.923)

0.241

0.844 (0.153–4.649)

0.846

 Hypertriglyceridemia

      

0.365 (0.065–2.036)

0.25

Smoker

      

0.996 (0.285–3.488)

0.995

Alcohol intake history

0.862 (0.467–1.590)

0.634

1.956 (0.657–5.827)

0.228

3.613 (0.810–16.122)

0.092

Comorbidities

 Hyperlipidemia

1.501 (0.529–4.26)

0.446

 T2DM

0.999 (0.363–2.749)

0.998

WBC (*109/L)

1.110 (1.040–1.184)

0.002

0.946 (0.819–1.094)

0.456

1.135 (1.048–1.23)

0.002

0.946 (0.839–1.067)

0.368

Hemoglobin (g/L)

1.023 (0.994–1.052)

0.118

BUN (mmol/L)

1.124 (0.974–1.297)

0.109

1.013 (0.914–1.122)

0.808

0.99 (0.917–1.069)

0.802

1.243 (1.097–1.408)

0.001

Creatinine (μmol/L)

1.005 (0.996–1.015)

0.268

1.006 (0.999–1.013)

0.105

1.002 (0.996–1.009)

0.484

Total bilirubin (μmol/L)

1.013 (1.004–1.023)

0.007

Albumin (g/L)

0.940 (0.894–0.989)

0.016

0.948 (0.833–1.079)

0.418

1.035 (0.978–1.095)

0.234

0.939 (0.854–1.032)

0.191

AST (IU/L)

1.002 (0.999–1.006)

0.18

Calcium (mmol/L)

0.196 (0.065–0.592)

0.004

0.882 (0.089–8.692)

0.914

0.042 (0.006–0.303)

0.002

1.205 (0.313–4.639)

0.786

Blood glucose (mmol/L)

1.081 (1.016–1.150)

0.014

1.023 (0.916–1.143)

0.686

1.021 (0.938–1.112)

0.624

1.054 (0.956–1.162)

0.294

LDH (IU/L)

1.004 (1.002–1.006)

< 0.001

1.003 (1.000–1.005)

0.061

1.000 (0.998–1.002)

0.785

1.000 (0.998–1.003)

0.781

Triglycerides (mmol/L)

1.022 (0.961–1.086)

0.486

0.943 (0.845–1.051)

0.287

1.119 (1.012–1.239)

0.029

CRP (mg/L)

1.007 (1.003–1.012)

0.002

0.999 (0.988–1.011)

0.844

1.002 (0.995–1.008)

0.409

1.000 (0.993–1.008)

0.926

  1. ARDS Acute respiratory distress syndrome, ARF Acute renal failure, AP acute pancreatitis, BMI Body-mass index, T2DM Type-2 diabetes mellitus, CRP C-reactive protein, AST Aspartate transaminase, BUN Blood urea nitrogen, LDH Lactate dehydrogenase, BISAP Bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis, PASS Pancreatic activity scoring system, CSSS Chinese simple scoring system, WBC White blood cell count, OR Odds ratio, CI Confidence interval. P < 0.05 was accepted as statistically significant