| |
Cutoff
|
AUC (95% CI)
|
Sensitivity (95% CI)
|
Specificity (95% CI)
|
PPV (95% CI)
|
NPV (95% CI)
|
|---|
|
Severity
|
|
Ranson score
|
≥2
|
0.861 (0.844–0.876)
|
0.741 (0.707–0.774)
|
0.864 (0.843–0.883)
|
0.762 (0.728–0.794)
|
0.850 (0.828–0.870)
|
|
Glasgow score
|
≥ 2
|
0.865 (0.849–0.881)
|
0.708 (0.672–0.742)
|
0.900 (0.882–0.917)
|
0.807 (0.773–0.838)
|
0.840 (0.818–0.860)
|
|
BISAP
|
≥ 2
|
0.829 (0.811–0.846)
|
0.649 (0.612–0.685)
|
0.869 (0.848–0.887)
|
0.744 (0.707–0.778)
|
0.808 (0.785–0.830)
|
|
PASS
|
≥ 90
|
0.778 (0.759–0.797)
|
0.889 (0.863–0.912)
|
0.545 (0.516–0.574)
|
0.534 (0.505–0.564)
|
0.893 (0.868–0.915)
|
|
CSSS
|
≥ 2
|
0.816 (0.797–0.833)
|
0.605 (0.568–0.642)
|
0.894 (0.876–0.910)
|
0.750 (0.712–0.786)
|
0.812 (0.791–0.832)
|
|
Mortality
|
|
Ranson score
|
≥3
|
0.693 (0.671–0.714)
|
0.515 (0.389–0.640)
|
0.976 (0.967–0.983)
|
0.500 (0.376–0.624)
|
0.978 (0.968–0.985)
|
|
Glasgow score
|
≥ 2
|
0.736 (0.715–0.756)
|
0.727 (0.604–0.830)
|
0.690 (0.668–0.712)
|
0.080 (0.060–0.105)
|
0.986 (0.977–0.991)
|
|
BISAP
|
≥ 3
|
0.789 (0.770–0.807)
|
0.606 (0.478–0.724)
|
0.882 (0.866–0.897)
|
0.160 (0.117–0.211)
|
0.984 (0.976–0.989)
|
|
PASS
|
≥ 190
|
0.858 (0.841–0.874)
|
0.788 (0.670–0.879)
|
0.809 (0.790–0.827)
|
0.133 (0.101–0.170)
|
0.990 (0.984–0.995)
|
|
CSSS
|
≥ 3
|
0.759 (0.738–0.778)
|
0.515 (0.389–0.640)
|
0.872 (0.856–0.887)
|
0.130 (0.092–0.177)
|
0.980 (0.972–0.986)
|
|
ARDS
|
|
Ranson score
|
≥2
|
0.745 (0.725–0.765)
|
0.761 (0.672–0.836)
|
0.666 (0.644–0.689)
|
0.129 (0.105–0.157)
|
0.977 (0.967–0.985)
|
|
Glasgow score
|
≥2
|
0.784 (0.764–0.802)
|
0.779 (0.691–0.851)
|
0.705 (0.683–0.726)
|
0.147 (0.119–0.178)
|
0.980 (0.971–0.987)
|
|
BISAP
|
≥2
|
0.834 (0.816–0.851)
|
0.823 (0.740–0.888)
|
0.710 (0.688–0.731)
|
0.156 (0.127–0.187)
|
0.984 (0.975–0.990)
|
|
PASS
|
≥ 195
|
0.936 (0.924–0.946)
|
0.903 (0.833–0.950)
|
0.860 (0.843–0.876)
|
0.296 (0.248–0.347)
|
0.993 (0.987–0.996)
|
|
CSSS
|
≥ 2
|
0.820 (0.802–0.838)
|
0.752 (0.662–0.829)
|
0.731 (0.709–0.752)
|
0.154 (0.125–0.187)
|
0.978 (0.969–0.986)
|
|
ARF
|
|
Ranson score
|
≥ 3
|
0.707 (0.686–0.728)
|
0.507 (0.422–0.592)
|
0.792 (0.772–0.811)
|
0.169 (0.134–0.208)
|
0.951 (0.938–0.961)
|
|
Glasgow score
|
≥ 3
|
0.734 (0.711–0.752)
|
0.542 (0.457–0.626)
|
0.857 (0.841–0.872)
|
0.213 (0.172–0.259)
|
0.963 (0.954–0.972)
|
|
BISAP
|
≥ 3
|
0.781 (0.761–0.800)
|
0.346 (0.283–0.413)
|
0.897 (0.882–0.911)
|
0.300 (0.244–0.361)
|
0.915 (0.901–0.928)
|
|
PASS
|
≥ 165
|
0.868 (0.852–0.883)
|
0.831 (0.759–0.889)
|
0.754 (0.733–0.774)
|
0.219 (0.185–0.257)
|
0.982 (0.973–0.988)
|
|
CSSS
|
≥ 3
|
0.816 (0.798–0.834)
|
0.578 (0.492–0.660)
|
0.895 (0.879–0.909)
|
0.313 (0.257–0.373)
|
0.962 (0.952–0.971)
|
- ARDS Acute respiratory distress syndrome, ARF Acute renal failure, AP Acute pancreatitis, AUC Area under the curve, PPV Positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value; BUN Blood urea nitrogen; BISAP Bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis, PASS Pancreatic activity scoring system, CSSS Chinese simple scoring system, CI confidence interval
