Parameters | Nonsurvivors (n = 83) | Survivors (n = 171) | P value | Training set (n = 254) | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | |||||
Age, (y) | 55 ± 14 | 53 ± 13 | 0.474 | 53 ± 14 | 1.006 (0.990–1.021) | 0.466 | ||
Gender (male) | 70 (84.3) | 136 (79.5) | 0.397 | 206 (81.1) | 1.255 (0.694–2.268) | 0.453 | ||
Alcohol use | 31(37.4) | 71 (41.5) | 0.586 | 102 (40.2) | ||||
Cirrhosis | 58 (69.9) | 85 (49.7) | 0.003 | 143 (56.3) | 1.908 (1.187–3.067) | 0.008 | 1.708 (0.980–2.976) | 0.059 |
Ascites | 49 (59.0) | 43 (25.1) | < 0.001 | 92 (36.2) | 2.668 (1.719–4.141) | < 0.001 | 1.855 (1.012–3.399) | 0.046 |
Bacterial infection | 28 (33.7) | 32 (18.7) | 0.011 | 60 (23.6) | 1.646 (1.044–2.595) | 0.032 | 0.981 (0.560–1.718) | 0.947 |
Hepatic encephalopathy | 35 (42.2) | 5 (2.9) | < 0.001 | 40 (15.7) | 3.901 (2.523–6.031) | < 0.001 | 2.027 (1.218–3.373) | 0.007 |
Gastrointestinal haemorrhage | 7 (8.4) | 6 (3.5) | 0.128 | 13 (5.1) | 1.707 (0.787–3.703) | 0.176 | ||
ALT, U/L | 423 (74-1100) | 554 (130–1238) | 0.863 | 526 (119–1211) | NA | 0.813 | ||
AST, U/L | 155(119–202) | 354 (104–955) | 0.553 | 339 (108–990) | NA | 0.780 | ||
Tbil, µmol/L | 364 (173–495) | 223 (130–327) | < 0.001 | 246 (140–401) | 1.002 (1.001–1.002) | < 0.001 | 1.000 (0.999–1.001) | 0.968 |
Albumin, g/L | 32 ± 5 | 34.5 ± 5 | 0.002 | 33 ± 5 | 0.952 (0.915–0.990) | 0.015 | 1.031 (0.969–1.096) | 0.335 |
INR | 2.10 (1.60–2.85) | 1.41 (1.15–1.68) | < 0.001 | 1.57 (1.13–2.10) | 1.531 (1.328–1.765) | < 0.001 | 1.216 (0.978–1.513) | 0.079 |
Creatinine, µmol/L | 68.2 (53.3–83.1) | 63.1 (53.9–73.3) | 0.068 | 64.3 (53.8–75.1) | 1.002 (1.000-1.003) | 0.027 | 1.000 (0.999–1.002) | 0.699 |
Glucose, mmol/L | 4.89 (3.96–6.36) | 5.08 (4.10–6.41) | 0.273 | 5.07 (4.09–6.39) | 0.965 (0.893–1.044) | 0.381 | ||
WBC, 109/L | 6.90 (5.46–10.44) | 5.74 (4.16–7.78) | 0.001 | 6.08 (4.43–8.34) | 1.080 (1.027–1.135) | 0.003 | 1.027 (0.965–1.093) | 0.404 |
Haemoglobin, g/L | 127 (110–142) | 127 (114–146) | 0.344 | 127 (113–144) | 0.995 (0.986–1.005) | 0.337 | ||
Platelet, 109/L | 86 (66–119) | 111 (71–153) | 0.011 | 100 (68–146) | 0.996 (0.992-1.000) | 0.070 | ||
Cholesterol, mmol/L | 2.01 (1.39–2.54) | 2.96 (2.38–3.72) | < 0.001 | 2.63 (2.01–3.24) | 0.569 (0.447–0.724) | < 0.001 | 1.310 (0.891–1.928) | 0.170 |
Triacylglycerol, mmol/L | 1.22 (0.91–1.63) | 1.65 (1.04–2.38) | < 0.001 | 1.46 (1.00-2.15) | 0.611 (0.455–0.820) | 0.001 | 0.551 (0.318–0.955) | 0.034 |
ApoA, g/L | 0.15 (0.05–0.27) | 0.32 (0.18–0.67) | 0.013 | 0.26 (0.13–0.53) | 0.070 (0.022–0.226) | < 0.001 | 0.200 (0.040–0.991) | 0.049 |
ApoB, g/L | 0.66 (044-0.92) | 0.91 (0.61–1.23) | 0.005 | 0.80 (0.55–1.14) | 0.339 (0.188–0.610) | < 0.001 | 0.958 (0.638–1.439) | 0.837 |
HDL-C, mmol/L | 0.18 (0.11–0.29) | 0.20 (0.14–0.55) | 0.013 | 0.19 (0.13–0.40) | 0.282 (0.111–0.717) | 0.008 | 0.557 (0.128–2.419) | 0.435 |
LDL-C, mmol/L | 0.41 (0.20–1.22) | 0.91 (0.25–1.80) | 0.005 | 0.78 (0.24–1.52) | 0.699 (0.527–0.926) | 0.013 | 0.714 (0.432–1.179) | 0.188 |